TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:22 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Sacramento Republic and Colorado Springs Switchbacks. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match timeframe.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks professional USL Championship soccer match exceed specified thresholds. The match in question is scheduled for October 10, 2026, and only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time count toward the resolution; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. All markets share the same underlying condition but differ only in the required threshold for resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially capturing nuanced factors or late-breaking news. You may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi differ from sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. These differences can stem from varying interpretations of team form, injuries, or even public sentiment surrounding the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Sacramento Republic. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe a certain goal total is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs Switchbacks match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when purchasing the contract.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Sacramento Republic or Colorado Springs Switchbacks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or changes in coaching strategy could also shift the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price fluctuations.