TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:18 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different margin-based outcomes for an upcoming professional soccer match between Sacramento Republic and Colorado Springs Switchbacks. It focuses on the extent of the winning team's advantage in goals during regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event covers four distinct outcome scenarios for the Sacramento Republic versus Colorado Springs Switchbacks professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The first scenario resolves to Yes if Sacramento Republic wins by more than 2.5 goals. The second scenario resolves to Yes if Sacramento Republic wins by more than 1.5 goals. The third scenario resolves to Yes if Colorado Springs Switchbacks wins by more than 1.5 goals. The fourth scenario resolves to Yes if Colorado Springs Switchbacks wins by more than 2.5 goals. In all cases, Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names referenced belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the spread in the Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the league or governing body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Sacramento Republic or Colorado Springs team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, weather conditions, or even tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could all contribute to price movement in this market.