TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:18 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in the USL Championship. The focus is on determining whether one team secures a victory within the standard regulation time, excluding any extended periods or penalty shootouts. The result hinges solely on the final score after the allotted 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event determines the winner of a professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, between Sacramento Republic and Colorado Springs Switchbacks, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective team is declared the winner within regulation time. If the game concludes in a tie after regulation, a separate 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes'. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration for market resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs. Generally, you'll find that prediction markets are highly efficient and can provide a valuable signal, especially when there is significant disagreement between the two. However, sportsbook odds still represent a significant benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on the day of the match, such as heavy rain or extreme heat, could also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any significant shifts in public opinion could impact trading activity and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.