TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 1:09 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sacramento Republic FC and FC Tulsa, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sacramento Republic FC" if Sacramento Republic FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Tulsa" if FC Tulsa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sacramento Republic FC and FC Tulsa, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sacramento Republic FC" if Sacramento Republic FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Tulsa" if FC Tulsa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to be more directly reflective of true probabilities as assessed by traders. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for dynamic adjustments based on a wider range of factors, including news, sentiment, and even late-breaking information. It's common to see differences emerge as the event approaches, showcasing the power of decentralized forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing perceptions of the likelihood of either team scoring first.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Sacramento Republic FC vs. FC Tulsa match. Official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive answer to who took the early advantage in the game.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Sacramento Republic FC or FC Tulsa would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, and even weather conditions on game day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected tactical changes announced by either coach, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could all contribute to movement in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.