TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:33 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 00:30 UTC: If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to "Sacramento Kings". If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 00:30 UTC: If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to "Sacramento Kings". If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, while sportsbooks often factor in a profit margin and may be influenced by biases. However, there can be initial discrepancies; sportsbooks may set lines based on power rankings and early analysis, while this market reflects real-money opinions. It’s common to see the prediction market odds converge towards what many consider the ‘true’ probability as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official final score of the Sacramento Kings versus Golden State Warriors game. Any overtime periods will be included in the final score. The market will settle to 100% for the winning team and 0% for the losing team, as determined by official game statistics. Traders should ensure their positions are managed before this time to avoid any potential complications.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Kings or the Warriors would likely cause a shift in the odds. Major news regarding team strategies or coaching changes could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant weather conditions if travel is involved, could also play a role. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly influence trading activity and therefore move the odds.