On April 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, the Buffalo Sabres will face the Ottawa Senators in an NHL regular season game. Markets track both the moneyline winner (Sabres vs. Senators) and total combined goals scored across multiple thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5). Resolution depends on the final official score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for over/under markets. Kalshi lists 8 separate over/under thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5 goals), while Polymarket offers 4 distinct O/U markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals) with identical resolution logic but different market granularity.
Hero Tip:
Both platforms resolve based on combined goals scored, but Kalshi offers more granular betting opportunities at every 1-goal increment starting from 2.5, while Polymarket focuses on 4 key thresholds. If you trade across both platforms, note that a 6-goal final score resolves YES on Kalshi's 5.5 market but YES on Polymarket's 5.5 market as well—however, Kalshi's additional 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 markets provide finer-grained exposure that Polymarket does not offer.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 8 separate over/under goal thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5), each resolving YES if combined goals exceed that threshold. Each market is independent with identical resolution mechanics: 'If over X.5 total combined goals are scored in the Buffalo vs Ottawa professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 4 over/under goal thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), each with explicit resolution criteria. For example, O/U 6.5 resolves Over if 'the Sabres and Senators combine to score 7 or more goals' and Under if 'the combined total is less than 7.' Additionally, Polymarket includes a moneyline market (Sabres vs. Senators winner) and a spread market (Senators -1.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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