TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Sabres vs Maple Leafs?

Volume:
$775,773

Buffalo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 9:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Buffalo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$248,874
N/A
N/A
$139,880
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$238,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,030
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248,873
N/A
N/A
$132,106
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of various bets related to the October 15th NHL game between the Buffalo Sabres and the Toronto Maple Leafs, including both straight win markets and over/under goals markets at different thresholds. Currently, the consensus probability for “Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5” is 100.0%, and “Sabres vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5” also has a 100.0% consensus probability, aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official results from https://www.nhl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 15th to see which outcomes resolve as the final score is tallied.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's win market resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, making it a trivial market. Polymarket specifies the winning team.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket's win market for meaningful information. Kalshi's market provides limited value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market will resolve to 'Sabres' if the Sabres win, or 'Maple Leafs' if the Maple Leafs win. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Buffalo or Toronto wins. "If Buffalo wins the Buffalo vs Toronto NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins the Buffalo vs Toronto NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 15 at 7:00PM ET: If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Buffalo vs. Toronto NHL game scheduled for October 15, 2026. If Toronto wins, the Toronto market resolves to Yes; if Buffalo wins, the Buffalo market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under altered circumstances.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Sabres-Maple Leafs game. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms suggests a strong probability for one outcome, with a combined volume of $775,773. This allows traders to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is assessing the likelihood of different results for this game. The dashboard tracks the probabilities as they shift based on trading activity on both Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a comprehensive view of market sentiment. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional sports betting odds.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources at play. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of informed traders. This market’s odds are formed by individuals wagering their own capital, creating a potentially more accurate signal, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. The 24-hour volume for this market is $678,135, indicating active trading and dynamic price discovery.

Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Sabres or the Maple Leafs would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in goaltending matchups or coaching strategies could also shift predictions. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media trends, could impact trading activity. Monitoring team performance in preceding games and any breaking news related to the teams will be crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.