TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sabres vs. Capitals
Volume:
$592,997
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Buffalo Sabres vs. Washington Capitals NHL game scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover three dimensions: (1) moneyline winner (Sabres or Capitals), (2) total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and (3) margin-of-victory spreads (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal differentials). All markets use final regulation + overtime + shootout scoring, with shootout wins credited as +1 goal to the winner.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on spread/margin outcomes (win-by thresholds), while Polymarket settles on total goals scored (over/under) and moneyline outcomes. The platforms measure fundamentally different aspects of the same game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi's spread markets, you are betting on margin of victory (e.g., win by 2+ goals). If you bet on Polymarket's O/U markets, you are betting on combined scoring. These outcomes are independent: a 4-3 Sabres win resolves YES on Polymarket's O/U 6.5 but NO on Kalshi's Washington 1.5+ spread. Ensure your strategy aligns with which metric you actually want to predict.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on margin of victory thresholds only. Four markets cover: Washington wins by 1.5+, Washington wins by 2.5+, Buffalo wins by 1.5+, and Buffalo wins by 2.5+. Each market resolves YES if its specific margin condition is met, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If Washington wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on total combined goals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), moneyline (Sabres vs. Capitals winner), and spread (Sabres -1.5, Capitals -1.5). The O/U markets measure aggregate scoring; the moneyline measures winner only; the spread markets measure margin. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Sabres and Capitals combine to score 7 or more goals in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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