TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers multiple markets related to a single NHL game between the Buffalo Sabres and the Montreal Canadiens on October 17th. Markets include a winner-takes-all outcome and over/under goals predictions for various thresholds.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Sabres win, the market will resolve to "Sabres". If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, incentivized by potential gains from accurate forecasts. This market reflects a collective assessment of the Sabres-Canadiens game’s likely outcome, potentially incorporating information and analysis not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The 24-hour volume for this market is currently $120,099, indicating active trading and evolving sentiment.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights into the Sabres-Canadiens game compared to Predict. Furthermore, differences in liquidity and the size of the trading community on each platform can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to potentially distinct probabilities being established for the same event on these two prediction markets, even though both aim to forecast the same outcome.