TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Malaysia Super League between two teams. The result is determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event considers three possible outcomes: one team winning, the other team winning, or the match ending in a tie.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Sabah vs Terengganu professional Malaysia Super League soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time; if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers results from regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs through trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium point where buyers and sellers agree. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabah vs Terengganu match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The specific outcome that triggers resolution will be the final result of the match – which team wins, or if the match ends in a draw. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role, as could any pre-match analysis from sports commentators or analysts. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the league itself could also cause fluctuations. Essentially, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ chances of winning will likely impact trading volume and prices.