TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the goal differential should Sabah Masazir win the match against Slavia Prague. Various margins of victory are considered, specifically whether Sabah Masazir wins by more than either 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The result is judged after the standard match duration, not including any additional periods or penalty decisions.
This spread event examines the victory margin for Sabah Masazir over Slavia Prague in their Champions League encounter on October 13, 2026, with two distinct markets. One market resolves to Yes if Sabah Masazir wins by more than 1.5 goals, and the other if they win by more than 2.5 goals. The outcome is determined solely based on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The secondary rule reiterates the platform's non-affiliation with the governing league and the proprietary nature of all trademarks and logos involved.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, this market might show a more nuanced view if traders believe the spread is mispriced, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Sabah Masazir vs Slavia Prague match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information from a diverse range of participants and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Sabah Masazir vs Slavia Prague match, as reported by official sports data providers. The market will determine whether Slavia Prague covers the spread, or if Sabah Masazir prevents them from doing so. The final result will be used to determine which contracts pay out at their face value of $1.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Sabah Masazir or Slavia Prague teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public opinion, can all contribute to price movements in this market.