TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a match where the outcome depends solely on the final score after regulation time. The result is determined by whether one team secures a victory during the standard playing period.
The event resolves based on the result of the Sabadell vs Andorra professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Sabadell resolves the 'Sabadell' market to Yes; a win for Andorra resolves the 'Andorra' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets exclusively consider regulation time outcomes, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it’s interesting to observe whether this market agrees or if traders perceive value in a different outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The higher the price of a contract, the lower the implied probability of that outcome, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Sabadell vs Andorra match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Sabadell vs Andorra match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as it approaches the resolution date to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Sabadell or Andorra might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, general news about team performance, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could all play a role in moving the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price fluctuations.