TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Germany's 3. Liga between two teams. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw, based on the result after the full regulation time.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Saarbrucken vs Duisburg professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team market occurs only if that specific team wins in regulation time; a draw after regulation time results in the 'Tie' market resolving to 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money wagers. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each potential result, offering a dynamic view of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saarbrucken vs Duisburg match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, and even public betting patterns could all contribute to price fluctuations. Major upsets in related matches or broader league standings could also indirectly affect trader sentiment and, consequently, the market price.