TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Saakian Vihen and Matviichuk Vasyl in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 20 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saakian Vihen' if Saakian Vihen wins against Matviichuk Vasyl. This market will resolve to 'Matviichuk Vasyl' if Matviichuk Vasyl wins against Saakian Vihen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Saakian Vihen and Matviichuk Vasyl in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 20 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Saakian Vihen' if Saakian Vihen wins against Matviichuk Vasyl. This market will resolve to 'Matviichuk Vasyl' if Matviichuk Vasyl wins against Saakian Vihen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it may indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the difference. However, it's important to note that both sources have their own strengths and weaknesses in predicting event outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders can buy 'yes' shares if they believe Saakian Vihen will win, or 'no' shares if they believe Matviichuk Vasyl will win. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' shares, the price increases, indicating a higher probability of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure on 'yes' shares drives the price down. The market’s price essentially represents the probability of Saakian Vihen winning, as perceived by the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saakian Vihen vs. Matviichuk Vasyl match. The platform will determine the winner based on publicly available and verifiable sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Polymarket. Major upsets in related sporting events or significant media coverage focusing on either athlete could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s prediction.