TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:02 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Rwanda and Kenya will be closely watched by fans and analysts to see if the combined scoring effort surpasses various thresholds. Outcomes hinge purely on the final tally after regulation time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based solely on the total number of goals scored in the Rwanda vs Kenya professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty phases are explicitly excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the aggregate goals meet or exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The operator emphasizes no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge compared to traditional betting options. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Rwanda vs Kenya match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Rwanda vs Kenya match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the official match will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by recognized sports authorities. Any potential disputes regarding the final score will be resolved based on the official record.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rwanda or Kenya would likely impact trading activity. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and updated team lineups could all contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and refine their predictions about the total goals scored.