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Rwanda vs. Kenya - Second Half Result
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Rwanda vs Kenya?

Volume:
$1,168

RWA

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

RWA

View
98%
Yes 98¢No 2¢
—
$3,401
$870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rwanda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

KEN

View
98%
Yes 98¢No 2¢
—
$3,412
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kenya

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
69%
65%
Yes 75¢No 37¢
—
$35
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of the second half of a FIFA International Friendlies match between Rwanda and Kenya. The markets ask which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the result will be a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution logic and source prioritization for determining the winner of the second half.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • The team that scores more goals in the second half (including stoppage time) is declared the winner.
  • If both teams score the same number of goals in the second half, the market resolves to 'Draw'.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'Draw'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur once the second half of the match has concluded and official statistics (or a fallback source) definitively determine the outcome.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Rwanda and Kenya, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rwanda" if Rwanda score more goals than Kenya in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Rwanda and Kenya score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kenya" if Kenya score more goals than Rwanda in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Rwanda and Kenya, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rwanda" if Rwanda score more goals than Kenya in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Rwanda and Kenya score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Kenya" if Kenya score more goals than Rwanda in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks predictions on which team will win the Rwanda vs. Kenya second half. Currently, there's a consensus view forming, though the probabilities differ slightly between the two platforms. The combined volume across both venues is $1,168, with Polymarket showing a stronger inclination towards one outcome. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment and provides a way to compare expectations for the second half result. The dashboard aggregates data to give a clearer picture of where the crowd believes the outcome will land.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources, though transaction fees and liquidity should be considered. This market is a good example of how collective forecasting can differ from conventional betting lines.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Rwanda vs. Kenya second half can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying risk tolerance and information access, leading to independent price discovery. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price signals. Furthermore, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions, impacting trading behavior. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for this market, even though they both address the same underlying event.