TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Rwanda and Kenya, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rwanda vs. Kenya match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Rwanda and Kenya, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rwanda vs. Kenya match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular exact score is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Predict will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as new information emerges and opinions evolve. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific score, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making algorithm to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, allowing traders to enter and exit positions quickly. The current market reflects the collective prediction of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official exact score of the Rwanda vs. Kenya match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. Any potential disputes regarding the official score will be addressed based on publicly available information and established sporting regulations. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Major announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Predict itself can create momentum and move the market. Public sentiment and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly influence trader behavior as the event approaches.