TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Wisconsin wins by over 23.5 points
- Kalshi
Wisconsin wins by over 23.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:03h:53m
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This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win over the other. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Rutgers vs Wisconsin college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. For Wisconsin win markets, resolution occurs if Wisconsin's victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 38.5 points). For Rutgers win markets, resolution occurs if Rutgers' victory margin exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the updated result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk tolerance, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome of the game. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the spread, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about which outcome is most likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Wisconsin will cover the spread, they will buy contracts, driving up the price. Conversely, if they believe Rutgers will perform well, they will sell, lowering the price.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Rutgers versus Wisconsin football game. The market will settle based on whether Wisconsin wins by more than the spread, Rutgers covers the spread, or some other outcome occurs. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Rutgers or Wisconsin would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant public information released regarding team morale, practice performance, or internal dynamics could all contribute to changes in the price of contracts within this market.