TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:24 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on whether either team's defense or special teams score a touchdown during the matchup between Rutgers and Northwestern. This includes scores from both regulation time and any overtime periods if the game extends beyond the scheduled duration.
If Rutgers and Northwestern collectively record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Rutgers vs Northwestern college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a defensive or special teams touchdown. It’s a useful comparison point for evaluating the potential value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive or special teams touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that probability – a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to new information and express their beliefs. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with traders setting their own bids and asks.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether a defensive or special teams touchdown is scored during the Rutgers versus Northwestern football game. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted whether a D/ST touchdown would be scored will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. News regarding key defensive players for either team – injuries, suspensions, or changes in playing time – could significantly shift the odds. Game-day weather conditions, particularly those that favor strong defensive play or special teams returns, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments focused on defensive or special teams performance might also move the market. Any late-breaking information related to team matchups or player form could lead to price fluctuations in this market.