TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various scoring thresholds for the third quarter of a college football game between Rutgers and Northwestern. It examines whether the combined points scored by both teams exceed specific numerical values during that quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the Rutgers vs Northwestern college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 27.5 points. If the combined third-quarter points exceed the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available and opinions converge, the odds in this market may move closer to those offered by sportsbooks, or they may diverge if traders have access to unique insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life cycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 3rd quarter total, and the price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of the total falling within a specific range, and changes based on supply and demand. Higher demand for contracts indicating a higher total will drive up the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter total for the Rutgers versus Northwestern game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official result is released. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Rutgers or Northwestern would likely cause movement, as would significant changes in weather forecasts. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and media coverage, can also play a role. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game strategy shifts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.