TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Rutgers and Northwestern. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that, if exceeded by either team during that quarter, determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Rutgers vs Northwestern college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For any market where the specified point differential is met or exceeded by either team during that quarter, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a large number of traders believe a particular spread is likely, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches, as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Rutgers-Northwestern 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts increase in value before the event concludes. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely outcome, and it fluctuates based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the Rutgers versus Northwestern football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sports organization, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Rutgers or Northwestern teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also play a role. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and cause the price to move, reflecting a change in market sentiment.