TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Rutgers and Maryland. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Rutgers vs Maryland college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, or if no touchdown is scored by either team throughout the entire game, including overtime. A touchdown is defined as any scoring play—offensive, defensive, or special teams—that results in six points followed by a potential extra point or two-point conversion. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, it still counts toward resolving the market for the scoring team. Should neither team score a touchdown at any point in regulation or overtime, the market designated for “No team” will resolve as the winner. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market will instead resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks referenced remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but with notable differences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the most likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the collective assessment of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome and lose money on incorrect predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first touchdown in the Rutgers vs Maryland game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of which team reached the endzone first. No further information about the resolution process is available at this time.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Rutgers or Maryland would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of different scoring scenarios. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.