TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams during a specific quarter of a college football game. Bettors can predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the Rutgers vs Maryland college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a different threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points), and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined third-quarter points exceed that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Over time, prediction markets have demonstrated a tendency to be more accurate than traditional polls or even expert analyses. However, it’s important to note that sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting percentages and liability management, which can create discrepancies compared to this market’s pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded, while those with inaccurate beliefs may incur losses. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a true probability assessment of the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Rutgers vs Maryland game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 3rd quarter between Rutgers and Maryland, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by both teams combined during that specific quarter of the game. It’s important to note that any adjustments or revisions to the official score will be reflected in the final resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding key player injuries for either Rutgers or Maryland would likely have a significant impact, as would any late-breaking information about weather conditions that could affect scoring. Changes in public perception, driven by pre-game analysis or betting trends, could also shift the market. Finally, any significant in-game events during the first half of the game, such as a dominant performance by one team, could lead to traders adjusting their positions and impacting the price of this market.