TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two college football teams specifically within one quarter of play. It focuses on measuring how decisively one team outperforms the other during a defined segment of the game, reflecting tactical advantages or momentum shifts.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Rutgers vs Maryland college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Maryland wins the third quarter by more than the specified point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding 'Maryland wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Rutgers wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin—also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective 'Rutgers wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. No markets resolve if neither team meets their respective threshold. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the official third-quarter result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than point spreads offered by sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more favorable depending on promotional offers or specific bookmaker strategies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy into a particular spread, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, giving traders insight into the potential cost of entering or exiting a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Rutgers vs Maryland game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Rutgers or Maryland teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also affect the spread. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by trading activity on Kalshi.