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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

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2,984,028,936

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$1,884,820,873

413,109

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4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Russia vs Nigeria: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Russia vs Nigeria?

Volume:
$139,951

Russia wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Russia wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 2:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,903
N/A
N/A
$24,249
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,648
N/A
N/A
$24,597
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,862
N/A
N/A
$7,618
Settled
No
kalshi

Nigeria wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,153
N/A
N/A
$7,662
Settled
No
kalshi

Nigeria wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,053
N/A
N/A
$2,053
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,332
N/A
N/A
$1,220
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an international friendly soccer match between Russia and Nigeria, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants are interested in predicting whether a team will win by a specific goal differential.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Russia vs Nigeria professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, based on the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct markets exist, each corresponding to a specific winning margin condition: Russia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Russia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Nigeria winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Nigeria winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual result matches any of these conditions, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Russia vs Nigeria match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts in real-time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $136,792, and the total volume traded to date is $139,951. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment, allowing you to quickly assess where the crowd believes the outcome will land in this contest.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances, as traders can instantly adjust their positions. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive system for forecasting the result of the Russia vs Nigeria match.

This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Russia vs Nigeria match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official results published by the governing body of the competition, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event’s conclusion.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Russia or Nigeria team would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form or coaching strategies could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events might influence overall market confidence. Public perception and media coverage leading up to the match will also play a role in shaping the market’s trajectory.