TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football match between two national teams in an international friendly competition. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added at the end of each half. This determines the resolution of a specific condition tied to the match's progression.
If Russia and Nigeria both score a goal in the Russia vs Nigeria Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and attempt to balance risk, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster to react to breaking news or late-stage information. It’s common to see differences, particularly in the early stages of trading, as this market develops its own consensus view on the likelihood of both teams scoring in the Russia vs Nigeria match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Russia vs Nigeria match. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing opinions. The current price represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and the implied probability can be calculated from the price.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Russia and Nigeria score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will resolve in favor of 'Yes'; if either team fails to score, it will resolve to 'No'. The final result will be determined by official match statistics, and the platform will verify this information against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution.
Several factors could influence trading in this market leading up to Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Russia or Nigeria would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or referee assignments might also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ scoring potential could drive price fluctuations in this market.