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5

Polymarket:

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Russia vs. Nigeria
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Russia vs Nigeria?

Volume:
$2,502,719

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 2:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$618,989
N/A
N/A
$383,483
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Russia vs. Nigeria)

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
75%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,831
$12,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

RUS

View
1%
55%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$154
$73,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$722,272
N/A
N/A
$303,357
Settled
No
polymarket

Russia

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

NGA

View
1%
18%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$100
$27,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nigeria

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$805,088
N/A
N/A
$520,696
Settled
No
polymarket

Nigeria

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the soccer match between Russia and Nigeria. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics from https://www.fifa.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 6, 2026, as the result within the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence in data source fallback and implicit tie-break handling. Kalshi lacks explicit fallback mechanisms.Hero tip: Consider Polymarket's markets slightly more reliable due to the defined data fallback hierarchy, but be aware of potential delays in resolution. Kalshi's markets are still viable, but carry a small risk of ambiguity if official data is unavailable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus. Resolves to 'Draw' if no data is available within 24 hours.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit data fallback or tie-break rule is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Russia and Nigeria.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Russia vs Nigeria professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for either Russia or Nigeria occurs only if that respective team secures a victory within regulation time. If the match concludes with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, as determined in accordance with the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Russia and Nigeria.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, incorporating a broader range of information. While sportsbooks may initially react to public perception, this market allows for continuous price discovery as new information emerges, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the Russia vs. Nigeria match’s likely result.

Prices for the Russia vs. Nigeria match can diverge between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Differences in trading fees, market maker activity, and even the time of day can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, variations in the perceived information available to traders on each platform can lead to differing assessments of the likelihood of Russia winning or Nigeria winning, impacting the odds offered.