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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Russia vs Namibia: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Russia vs Namibia?

Volume:
$20,564

Russia wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Russia wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 1:50 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,130
N/A
N/A
$6,471
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,989
N/A
N/A
$4,880
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 4.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$1,053
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 3.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,488
N/A
N/A
$1,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 5.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$779
N/A
N/A
$779
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Namibia wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$455
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia wins by more than 6.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
$410
Settled
No
kalshi

Namibia wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
$313
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

These markets assess whether Russia or Namibia achieves a decisive victory, measured by the margin of their win after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, again excluding extra time or penalties.

Kalshi

These spread markets resolve based on the goal differential if either Russia or Namibia wins the match. For Russia, markets requiring wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals will resolve to 'Yes' if Russia's victory margin exceeds the specified threshold. For Namibia, similar thresholds apply. As with the total goals markets, only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are excluded. The resolution depends solely on the final score difference, with Kalshi emphasizing no official connection to the governing league or its intellectual property.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Russia vs Namibia match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $18,890 and the total volume traded on this market is $20,564. Traders on Kalshi are expressing their beliefs about the outcome of the match through buy and sell orders, which dynamically adjust the prices you see on the dashboard. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and potentially identify opportunities based on discrepancies between your own predictions and the collective wisdom of the crowd.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds, reflecting the diverse information sources and analytical approaches used by participants. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives, including those of informed amateurs and even inside information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply the varying levels of liquidity in each market. It's possible to find value by identifying situations where prediction market odds diverge significantly from those offered by sportsbooks, suggesting a potential mispricing.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Russia vs Namibia match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time reflection of collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Russia vs Namibia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as declared by the governing body of the event. The final price on Kalshi will reflect the actual outcome, and traders who correctly predicted the result will profit based on the difference between their entry and exit prices. It’s important to monitor news and official sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public perception regarding team performance could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants, often referred to as “smart money,” can indicate a change in expectations. Monitoring these factors and staying updated on the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.