TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a comprehensive set of markets related to the FIFA International Friendly match between Russia and Namibia, covering various spread and over/under outcomes. The markets are based on the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, with a clear hierarchy of resolution sources.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 3 at 11:00 AM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 3 at 11:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, and arbitrage opportunities may arise for savvy traders.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of outcomes. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket might have more active traders focused on over/under markets, while Predict could see more action on spread-based bets. These differing dynamics contribute to the price discrepancies observed for this market.
Several signals could significantly shift the odds for this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions impacting the match could influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or shifts in public perception of team performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Polymarket or Predict could indicate a change in market consensus, driving price movements until the Russia vs. Namibia match concludes.