TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 2:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Rulc Lukas and Zelinka Matus in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 22 at 11:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rulc Lukas' if Rulc Lukas wins against Zelinka Matus. This market will resolve to 'Zelinka Matus' if Zelinka Matus wins against Rulc Lukas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Rulc Lukas and Zelinka Matus in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 22 at 11:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rulc Lukas' if Rulc Lukas wins against Zelinka Matus. This market will resolve to 'Zelinka Matus' if Zelinka Matus wins against Rulc Lukas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert opinions and statistical models, this market allows anyone to trade, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the available data. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses an automated market maker (AMM) model, meaning there isn't a traditional order book; instead, prices are determined by a mathematical formula based on the ratio of shares representing each outcome. This ensures liquidity and allows for continuous trading.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rulc Lukas vs. Zelinka Matus match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also cause significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volumes from influential traders could create momentum and drive prices in a particular direction. Monitoring sports news and social media for relevant updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that might affect this market.