TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a UEFA Europa League match between RU Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad de Fútbol. Outcomes are based on which team scores more goals in the second half, including stoppage time, or if the result is a draw. The markets specify resolution sources and handling of postponements or cancellations.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between RU Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RU Saint-Gilloise" if RU Saint-Gilloise score more goals than Real Sociedad de Fútbol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if RU Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad de Fútbol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol score more goals than RU Saint-Gilloise in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between RU Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RU Saint-Gilloise" if RU Saint-Gilloise score more goals than Real Sociedad de Fútbol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if RU Saint-Gilloise and Real Sociedad de Fútbol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol score more goals than RU Saint-Gilloise in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many individuals with skin in the game. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. Often, prediction markets are more efficient at incorporating new information quickly, as traders react to news and events in real-time. The current volume of $0 indicates active trading, suggesting a dynamic assessment of probabilities.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, leading to price differences even with similar underlying sentiment. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Predict may have a broader, less experienced user base. These differing compositions can result in varying interpretations of the available information and, consequently, different prices for the same outcome in the Real Sociedad vs. Saint-Gilloise second half.