TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:35 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Copa del Rey game, scheduled for October 27 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Copa del Rey game, scheduled for October 27 at 3:00 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, risk tolerance, and the influence of public opinion. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability here and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for value betting, or simply a difference in how each is evaluating the likelihood of the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment. The current price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket and represents the collective wisdom of those participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the RSD Alcalá vs. UD Las Palmas match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for RSD Alcalá, a win for UD Las Palmas, or a draw—actually occurred during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be rewarded based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could impact trading activity. Even general shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or other polls, might cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids, leading to price fluctuations.