TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Dota 2 match between two teams, Royal Bear and Execration, scheduled for October 15, 2026. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. If the match does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, or is canceled or forfeited before play begins, the market adjusts to reflect fair pricing based on prevailing conditions.
If Royal Bear wins the DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier 2026: Royal Bear vs. Execration Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Execration wins the DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier 2026: Royal Bear vs. Execration Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may also adjust odds based on betting patterns, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the Royal Bear versus Execration match, though it’s important to remember they are driven by different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time. The current market reflects the collective assessment of participants regarding the likely winner of the Dota 2 match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dota 2 match between Royal Bear and Execration as reported by the tournament organizers. The winning team, as determined by the official match results, will dictate the outcome of this market. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant, and any disputes or challenges to the result will not affect the market’s resolution.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Royal Bear or Execration could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, in-game performance during the match itself, such as early game dominance or key player advantages, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and analyst predictions, can also contribute to movements in this market.