TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Belgian Pro League between Royal Antwerp and Royal Charleroi. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Royal Antwerp vs Royal Charleroi professional Belgian Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Royal Antwerp or Royal Charleroi markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, particularly closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the likelihood of each result. Essentially, the price is determined by supply and demand, driven by the predictions of individual traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Belgian Pro League match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify the result against established sports data sources. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objectively verifiable information.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Royal Antwerp or Royal Charleroi would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team form, tactical decisions announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. As the match date approaches, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis will likely be reflected in the market prices.