TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Iatcenko and Harmony Tan in the Rovereto, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Iatcenko' if Polina Iatcenko advances against Harmony Tan. This market will resolve to 'Harmony Tan' if Harmony Tan advances against Polina Iatcenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Iatcenko and Harmony Tan in the Rovereto, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Iatcenko' if Polina Iatcenko advances against Harmony Tan. This market will resolve to 'Harmony Tan' if Harmony Tan advances against Polina Iatcenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event as assessed by traders. Therefore, you may find that the odds on this market differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially due to differing opinions, access to information, or the influence of market dynamics. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares related to the Iatcenko vs Tan match, and isn’t influenced by external factors or predetermined formulas.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Iatcenko vs Tan match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Polina Iatcenko or Harmony Tan could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes, or even weather forecasts impacting the match, could also drive price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.