TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martyna Kubka and Alina Charaeva in the Rovereto, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martyna Kubka' if Martyna Kubka advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Martyna Kubka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martyna Kubka and Alina Charaeva in the Rovereto, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martyna Kubka' if Martyna Kubka advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Martyna Kubka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, while this market allows for more direct probability assessment by traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, varying levels of expertise among market participants, and the influence of public sentiment. If you observe a significant difference, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular result in the Kubka vs Charaeva match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kubka vs Charaeva match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's assessment, while significant price swings can signal changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kubka vs Charaeva match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts might also impact the market, especially if it challenges prevailing assumptions. Major upsets in related competitions or significant changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks could also contribute to price movements in the Kubka vs Charaeva match.