TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
Bochum versus Mainz will see markets settle on whether Bochum achieves a decisive victory, or if Mainz retaliates with a strong win.
All markets resolve based on the goal difference if Bochum or Mainz wins the DFB Pokal match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A "Yes" outcome occurs if the specified winning margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals) is exceeded for the respective team.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals willing to put their money behind their predictions. Frequently, you’ll find that prediction market probabilities align with sportsbook odds, but divergences can occur, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the match. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Leipzig match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Leipzig match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. The market will determine which contract, corresponding to a specific total goal range, accurately predicts the final score. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rot-Weiss Essen or Leipzig would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal count. Furthermore, tactical announcements from the managers, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could shift traders’ expectations. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.