TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on whether both Rot-Weiss Essen and Leipzig will manage to score at least one goal each in their upcoming DFB Pokal match. The outcome hinges solely on the performance of both teams during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Rot-Weiss Essen and Leipzig both score a goal in the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Leipzig DFB Pokal match originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' capabilities. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Rot-Weiss Essen and Leipzig will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. Higher demand for 'Yes' contracts (both teams to score) will drive the price up, while increased selling pressure will lower it. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Rot-Weiss Essen and Leipzig score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Rot-Weiss Essen or Leipzig would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match interviews with managers could also introduce new information. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market confidence.