TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Rot-Weiss Essen will win their professional DFB Pokal soccer game against Leipzig. Currently, Kalshi gives Rot-Weiss Essen a 63.0% chance of winning, while a tie is priced at 28.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official result of the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Leipzig game. Keep a close watch on the match itself, scheduled for October 27, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and will determine the market’s resolution.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Leipzig DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If Rot-Weiss Essen secures a win under these conditions, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Leipzig achieves the victory under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after the specified duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time, with no account for postseason or tiebreaker procedures.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception differs from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Leipzig match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is favored, the higher its contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Leipzig match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before the Oct 27, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected announcements about the match conditions could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi by informed traders could indicate new information or a change in market expectations, causing a noticeable movement in the price of contracts for the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Leipzig match.