TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's 3. Liga between Rot-Weiss Essen and Fortuna Cologne. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result of the match as it concludes in regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Cologne professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Rot-Weiss Essen wins, the 'Rot-Weiss Essen' market resolves to Yes. If Fortuna Cologne wins, the 'Fortuna Cologne' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result after regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived value of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Cologne match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Cologne match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result on Kalshi following the event's completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and impact the odds. Major announcements related to the teams or the match itself would likely cause significant price movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Keep an eye on these signals to understand potential shifts in this market.