TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Rostock and Dusseldorf in Germany's 3. Liga. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether Rostock wins, Dusseldorf wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Rostock vs Dusseldorf professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to the three possible outcomes: Rostock win, Dusseldorf win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a clear victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the teams are level after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to unique data, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets compared to the more static nature of sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Rostock vs Dusseldorf match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible outcome, offering insights into the overall expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Rostock vs Dusseldorf match, as determined by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final result will be publicly available and used to settle all outstanding contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Rostock or Dusseldorf would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift market sentiment. News regarding weather conditions at the match venue or any controversies surrounding the teams could also introduce volatility. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and potentially trigger further price adjustments.