TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Over 0.5 goals will be scored in the Romania vs. Sweden UEFA Nations League match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5. The resolution source for this market is the official UEFA website: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match itself on October 5th at 2:45 PM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the goals scored during the game.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks may set lines based on power rankings and public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information or biases. If substantial differences exist, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking, incorporating new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Romania vs. Sweden match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The final score and official match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public opinion could impact the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is crucial for understanding the dynamic pricing of this market.