TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Romania vs. Sweden - First Team to Score
predict

What is the result of Romania vs Sweden?

Volume:
$449

SWE

 - Predict

SWE - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

SWE

View
61%
Yes 61¢No 39¢
—
$8
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Neither

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$0
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ROM

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Romania and Sweden, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Romania" if Romania are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sweden" if Sweden are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Romania and Sweden, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Romania" if Romania are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sweden" if Sweden are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Romania vs. Sweden first goal market tracks the implied probability of either team scoring the first goal, as reflected in the current trading prices. You’ll find a price history chart showing how these probabilities have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $449, and the 24-hour volume, which is $448. This allows you to see how interest and sentiment are changing as the match approaches. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Predict, tends to reflect a more pure assessment of probabilities, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded, as information aggregates quickly.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Romania or Sweden scoring first. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, making the prices dynamic and responsive to changing conditions.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Romania vs. Sweden match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the first goalscorer will be resolved based on the official match records and rulings from the governing football association.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Romania or Sweden would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact the market. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions expected on match day, or pre-game analysis from prominent football commentators, could sway trader sentiment and move the odds. Any unexpected developments leading up to kickoff have the potential to alter the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first.