TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Romania vs. Sweden
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Romania vs. Sweden?

Volume:
$7,725,837

Sweden

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 6:44 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sweden

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,058,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sweden

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$849,743
N/A
N/A
$490,513
Settled
Yes
predict

SWE

View
99%
43%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$36,107
$211,623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$7,052
$8,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,412
N/A
N/A
$62,438
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Romania vs. Sweden)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ROM

View
1%
20%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$7,091
$25,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Romania

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282,836
N/A
N/A
$195,929
Settled
No
polymarket

Romania

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152,913
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Romania and Sweden, forecasting whether Sweden will win on October 5, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Sweden winning is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, with resolution determined by the official results reported at https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 5, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves to 'No' if canceled, while Kalshi's behavior is undefined.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a clear 'No' outcome, while Kalshi's resolution is uncertain in that scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". Otherwise, resolution is based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. There is no explicit mention of how a cancellation would be handled, implying the market would remain open or resolve based on implied probabilities.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Romania and Sweden.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Romania vs Sweden UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Romania win, Sweden win, or a tie. If Romania scores more goals than Sweden by the end of regulation time, the Romania market resolves positively. Conversely, if Sweden scores more goals, their market resolves positively. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the Tie market resolves positively. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time counts. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Romania and Sweden.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Romania vs. Sweden match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $7,725,837, with $7,503,537 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on the potential result, combining insights from traders on each platform. The dashboard provides a unified view of the market, showing how predictions evolve as new information becomes available. It’s a way to gauge public sentiment and forecast the likely winner of this highly anticipated contest.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient and accurate, particularly when a large volume of trading occurs. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes, especially if they have a strong directional bias. It’s beneficial to compare both to gain a well-rounded view.