TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Romania vs. Poland
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Romania vs. Poland?

Total volume:
$8
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$6,051
24%
Open interest:
$8
0%

Poland

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 14, 2026

Time left: 11d:20h:47m

Poland wins

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 49¢ buys you 204 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $204 | Net Profit: $104 Multiplier: 2.04x | ROI: 104% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Poland

Trade
50%
Yes 49¢No 55¢
4¢
N/A
$8
0%
N/A
$8
1w 4d 20h
Active
polymarket

Poland

Trade
48%
Yes 50¢No 54¢
4¢
$2,008
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
50%
Yes 49¢No 55¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Romania

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 20h
Active
polymarket

Romania

Trade
26%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
2¢
$2,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 20h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Romania vs. Poland)

Trade
26%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
2¢
$1,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Romania and Poland, scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Romania will win, Poland will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket has extensive no-result provisions for abandonment or cancellation, while Kalshi lacks these, potentially creating differing outcomes in edge cases.Hero tip: Be aware of Polymarket's abandonment rules. A delayed or cancelled game could resolve to 'No' on Polymarket even if a result is later awarded, while Kalshi would still look for a winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to 'No'. Abandonment rules dictate resolution based on governing body rulings or the result as played.
  • Kalshi: If Romania wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Yes'. If Poland wins, the market resolves to 'Yes'. If it's a tie, the market resolves to 'Yes'. No mention of cancellation or abandonment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Romania and Poland, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Romania wins the Romania vs Poland professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Poland wins the Romania vs Poland professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Romania vs Poland professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes for the Romania vs. Poland match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $8, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, combining insights from both venues. Polymarket currently favors Will Poland win on 2026-11-14? at 48.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Poland wins at 50.0%. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of expectations surrounding the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their true beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. It’s often valuable to compare both to gain a more complete picture of the potential outcome of the Romania vs. Poland match.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Different user bases, varying trading fees, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery; a larger volume on one venue can lead to a more stable and potentially different price than on the other. The differing interfaces and incentives on each platform can also attract different types of traders, impacting how this market is priced. Currently, Polymarket shows 48.0% for Will Poland win on 2026-11-14?, while Kalshi indicates 50.0% for Poland wins.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Romania vs. Poland match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be the basis for verifying the result. Traders will be able to see the outcome reflected on both Polymarket and Kalshi once it’s officially confirmed, allowing for a clear and transparent resolution process.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds on this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Romania or Poland could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public sentiment could influence traders’ beliefs and move the price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 14, 2026.