TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Roma and Slovan Bratislava, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds for goal differentials define various possible resolutions.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Roma vs Slovan Bratislava professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for October 20, 2026. The outcome depends on whether Roma or Slovan Bratislava achieves a win by a specified margin—more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals—after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty phases are excluded from consideration. Any market where the winning team exceeds the stated goal differential resolves to 'Yes,' while all other scenarios resolve to 'No.' The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they are continuously updated based on new information and participant trading activity. However, sportsbook odds can offer a useful benchmark for understanding initial expectations surrounding the Roma vs Slovan Bratislava match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The current price indicates the market's expectation for the final spread in the Roma vs Slovan Bratislava match, and traders can profit by correctly predicting the result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Roma vs Slovan Bratislava match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the completion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, as could significant shifts in public sentiment or betting patterns observed on Kalshi. Major announcements related to team management or player availability are also likely to cause price movements in this market for the Roma vs Slovan Bratislava match.