TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Roma wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Roma wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:23h:28m
$
This event tracks the performance of Roma and Sassuolo in an upcoming Serie A soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, determining outcomes based on how many goals they win by. The event is tied to the official game time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various winning margins for Roma and Sassuolo in their Serie A match scheduled for November 7, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. A victory by Roma of more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, as well as a Sassuolo win by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, each independently trigger a 'Yes' resolution for their respective markets. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Serie A league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Roma vs Sassuolo match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league organizers, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Roma or Sassuolo would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also shift the market, as traders react to perceived changes in the likelihood of different outcomes for the Roma vs Sassuolo match.