TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming women's professional soccer match between Roma and Napoli. Participants can speculate on whether Roma will win, Napoli will win, or the game will end in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Roma vs Napoli professional Serie A Femminile soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Roma win, Napoli win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations for the Roma vs Napoli match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current top market on Kalshi is for Napoli to win.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Roma vs Napoli match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Roma win, a Napoli win, or a draw – occurred according to the official scoreline. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Roma or Napoli would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches impacting team motivation or league standings could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on new information.