TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
The Serie A clash between Roma and Genoa will see markets resolve based on whether more than zero goals are scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Roma vs Genoa professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Roma vs Genoa professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Roma vs Genoa professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Roma vs Genoa professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Roma vs Genoa professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Roma vs Genoa professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing perspectives on the likely outcome of the Roma vs Genoa match. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as event time approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly updating their valuations based on new information, leading to dynamic price adjustments. Higher volume at a particular price point suggests stronger conviction among traders regarding that outcome’s likelihood in the Roma vs Genoa match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final outcome will be determined by the total number of goals scored in the Roma vs Genoa match, as officially recorded by the governing football league. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual total goals scored, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Roma vs Genoa match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations about the number of goals scored. Even tactical lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable football experts could sway trader sentiment and affect the prices within this market.