TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets for the Roma vs Genoa Serie A game examine different goal thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) to be scored within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
The Roma vs Genoa Serie A match markets determine if the total goals scored exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution occurs if the cumulative goals reach or exceed each threshold, with scoring from regular time only—extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded. The secondary rule notes the platform's lack of official league affiliation.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies between the two can highlight potential value opportunities for informed traders, indicating where the market may be under- or overestimating a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Roma vs Genoa match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates the implied probability of a specific outcome, allowing traders to assess potential value and make informed decisions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Roma vs Genoa match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the resolution process and ensure a smooth settlement of their positions.
Several signals could significantly influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Roma or Genoa would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.